Saturday, 5 May 2012

The Tory Party doesn't own conservatives.

The Plymouth Conservatives reckon that UKIP 'are to blame' for their defeat.

They have no one but to blame but themselves. Clearly not enough of the electorate rated what their candidates or Party was offering in the area.

You could say the same for UKIP, if it wasn't for the fact that the Party saw a huge vote boost. Standing in every Plymouth Ward, UKIP averaged 20.6% in Plymouth. That's more than one in five Plymouth voters now backing UKIP.

It represents a tremendous shift in the workings of the Right in Britain. While the Left has seen the SDP breakaway from Labour in the past, as well as the formerly centre-left Liberal Democrats fragment Labour over the years, the Conservative Party hasn't seen a constant fragmentation of its own vote in terms of being outflanked on the right. UKIP has steadily grown from a very small base, whilst the Referendum Party came and went quickly.

The Conservative Party doesn't own conservatives. Conservatism no longer in Britain automatically equals Toryism. I mean just who embodies traditional conservative values on things like tax, spending, Europe and defence more; David Cameron or Nigel Farage? It is easy to see why so many right-wingers are finding UKIP the more authentic voice on the Right in Britain.

Indeed it is First Past The Post that truly acts as the biggest hindrance to UKIP, with conservatives sometimes failing to back UKIP because they don't believe they can win. When this isn't a factor, as with the European Elections, UKIP picks up millions of votes.

But it is starting to do the same in local, first past the post elections as well. The Party took 220,000 votes in England's local elections this year, more than double what it received in 2008.

Symbolic of UKIP's rise was the defeat of the Tory Leader of Tunbridge Wells Council, defeated and replaced by a Kipper. There may have been few such outright victories for UKIP this year - but with over 100 second places, huge swathes of UKIP Councillors could well be elected in 2014. The British Right may never be quite the same again - genuine conservatives now have a choice.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Worth looking at he Scottish parliament elections of 2003 and 2007 for a parallel. In 2003, the SNP didn't make many (possibly any) gains in FPTP elections however, Labour majorities in Scottish central belt seats over the SNP were reduced n many cases compared to the 1999 election. The process was repeated in 2007 with several FPTP Labour MSPs being unseated by the SNP. This shows that making steady gains is definitely progress and worthwhile if you're playing a long game.

Steve Fowler said...

Agree with the comments. The long game and forward planning are the way forwards and not the short term gains. If the SNP can slowly over time make the gains needed then so can UKIP.

The old parties are addicted to power and ego of being in charge and will not allow it be taken from them with out a fight.

Peoples values and beliefs belong to them and not political social groups they think they can copyright something and claim to own it.