The Liberal Democrats - losing here.

Bit by bit the Liberal Democrats are receding locally and being challenged regularly for third place by UKIP. The rise of the Purple Right alongside the fallout from Clegg's lies make for a competitive race as to who will be the UK's third Party by 2015.

Last night's by-election in Waltham Cross saw the LibDems come a distant fourth, with UKIP coming third and getting more than double the vote of the LibDems. Amazingly the local press still can't quite bring themselves to list UKIP as third.

Such small battles add up to big things going forward.