I must admit I have a soft spot for the Leader of Libertas, Declan Ganley. While he has been very unkind about my party and is an unabashed supporter of the EU, he has re-entered the Irish Lisbon Treaty referendum campaign with a bang, including this televised prime time debate with RyanAir chief Michael O'Leary.
Ganley has really been getting up the noses of the pro-Lisbon brigade. They seem to be absolutely terrified of him and have been getting very vicious. Little wonder. Many of them attribute Ireland voting no first time round with Ganley's intervention. He gave financial muscle, a charismatic figure and some business credibility to the no side. Though he totally embarrassed himself and exposed a huge ego by launching Libertas continent-wide in the European Elections and flopping hugely, Ganley is a late entry to a no side that severely lacks big hitters.
While I think UKIP played its part in a big way via the now defunct Independence and Democracy group, Ganley deserved credit. And if Lisbon is somehow voted down by the Irish again this second time, Ganley will again deserve credit.
I doubt Ganley would welcome drawing plaudits from someone like me. After all, I'm crazy enough to believe the EU can never be reformed and is a disaster for our European continent. However, I do wonder if Ganley et al, lets call them "soft eurosceptics" will one day concede that whatever perceived benefits of the EU they like, are far outweighed by the downright dangerous nature of what the Euro-Federalists are pushing through. Ganley does seem disgusted by the fact that the Irish are being asked to vote again. But this is no one off, it is simply the reflection of the ugly EU beast. Unrelenting, uncompromising, ideological pure and driven.
As the EU shows just how anti-democratic it is, I think there is little doubt that many millions more Europeans will not just be critical of the EU, but advocate withdrawal for their country altogether. I wouldn't be surprised if Ganley is one of these people in the future.
Tuesday, 29 September 2009
Cameron can not be relied upon. It is the Irish who can kill off the EU's ultimate coup.
Judging from most opinion polls, the omens are not looking good. It does appear that the Irish people, second time round, may vote "yes" in a referendum to the EU's hated Lisbon Treaty. The EU Constitution in all but name, the EU's latest and final document that is self-ratifying in the future meaning that there will never again be a referendum when it comes to the extent of supranational power wielded by the European Union looks to soon become a reality.
It should not be. The French and Dutch voted no to the Constitution. The Irish, the only people who got a referendum on Lisbon, voted no first time round. But they have been made to vote again and this time the no side have been financially outflanked by ten-to-one, the media have thrown the rulebook out of the window in terms of balanced coverage and hundreds of politicians have warned that a no vote will lead to further economic turmoil in a country that is already suffering.
Yet it would be foolish to write the result off entirely. After all, few predicted a no vote last time round. And if there is one thing the Irish people hate, it is being pushed and bullied around.
One thing is for certain. Those sad eurosceptics who simply do not realise where David Cameron wants to take the Conservative party, are putting their faith in the wrong man. If the Irish do vote yes second time round, do not expect a Lisbon referendum. William Hague has already said that there will be no announcement at the October Tory Conference which occurs days after the referendum result. There is no impetus there, no loyalty to what is right but simply what political capital can be gained from this whole sorry episode.
I could be wrong but I have a distinct feeling that those putting faith in David Cameron to deliver the referendum us British clearly want, are going to be sorely disappointed. British eurosceptics need to hope and pray the Irish vote no a second time and kill this hated power-grab from the EU political elite once and for all. Anything less would mean leaving it to chance. And I don't like the odds.
It should not be. The French and Dutch voted no to the Constitution. The Irish, the only people who got a referendum on Lisbon, voted no first time round. But they have been made to vote again and this time the no side have been financially outflanked by ten-to-one, the media have thrown the rulebook out of the window in terms of balanced coverage and hundreds of politicians have warned that a no vote will lead to further economic turmoil in a country that is already suffering.
Yet it would be foolish to write the result off entirely. After all, few predicted a no vote last time round. And if there is one thing the Irish people hate, it is being pushed and bullied around.
One thing is for certain. Those sad eurosceptics who simply do not realise where David Cameron wants to take the Conservative party, are putting their faith in the wrong man. If the Irish do vote yes second time round, do not expect a Lisbon referendum. William Hague has already said that there will be no announcement at the October Tory Conference which occurs days after the referendum result. There is no impetus there, no loyalty to what is right but simply what political capital can be gained from this whole sorry episode.
I could be wrong but I have a distinct feeling that those putting faith in David Cameron to deliver the referendum us British clearly want, are going to be sorely disappointed. British eurosceptics need to hope and pray the Irish vote no a second time and kill this hated power-grab from the EU political elite once and for all. Anything less would mean leaving it to chance. And I don't like the odds.
Labels:
Conservative Party,
David Cameron,
Lisbon Treaty
Monday, 28 September 2009
Why shouldn't he have asked the question?
Again we see the fickleness of British politics. I really don't see what the big deal is with Andrew Marr questioning Gordon Brown's health in an interview. There has been a great deal of gossip on the subject lately. If Marr hadn't asked the question, speculation would have only built and somebody would have ended up asking the question anyway.
That aside, why the hell shouldn't Marr ask? Gordon Brown is a man who has a great degree of influence over the lives of every single citizen living in this country. If we were talking about the a high-flyer of a company then there can be little doubt that re-assurances would be demanded for by the board of directors, and rightfully so. Health can undoubtedly directly effect some one's ability to do a good job. Andrew Marr questions politicians on their ability all of the time and I don't see why a politician's health should be regarded as any different from any other attribute.
For me this whole "controversial" episode reflects on a British political culture which is far too fickle and insulated to realise that to those that to ordinary people this question would not even raise an eyebrow. Perhaps Marr broke convention, because our big important politicians aren't normally pressed on such points. If so, he deserves a congratulations from not playing silly political games and just asking the questions people want answered.
That aside, why the hell shouldn't Marr ask? Gordon Brown is a man who has a great degree of influence over the lives of every single citizen living in this country. If we were talking about the a high-flyer of a company then there can be little doubt that re-assurances would be demanded for by the board of directors, and rightfully so. Health can undoubtedly directly effect some one's ability to do a good job. Andrew Marr questions politicians on their ability all of the time and I don't see why a politician's health should be regarded as any different from any other attribute.
For me this whole "controversial" episode reflects on a British political culture which is far too fickle and insulated to realise that to those that to ordinary people this question would not even raise an eyebrow. Perhaps Marr broke convention, because our big important politicians aren't normally pressed on such points. If so, he deserves a congratulations from not playing silly political games and just asking the questions people want answered.
Labels:
Andrew Marr,
Gordon Brown
Thursday, 10 September 2009
David Cameron tries to be digital, but his signals are decades old.
I can understand why those like Benedict Brogan at The Telegraph feel that perhaps David Cameron is a digital prime Minister for a 27/7 age. After all, Brogan mingles in a Westminster village stacked with old, out of touch men who are happy to do go with the flow for the sake of an easy life, promising young slickers who have seem to lost their appetite for a fight to change the country as soon as the word "promotion" is thrust towards them and those like Mr. Cameron who appear to be in-touch, but are really the products of advisers and media men.
The reality is simple. While WebCameron works as a concept, it's execution exposes just how outdated most of those in the political world are with ordinary folk. A video filmed inside a Party Leader's house is not a bad idea. It makes them more accessible, easier to relate to, and more informal. Yet the execution of this and many other Cameron videos exposes just how frail his real understanding of what people want, is.
To Mr. White Van Man Tory Dave is a smarmy posh git who is too full of himself and is going to sleepwalk into becoming Prime Minister thanks to a Labour government who have utterly alienated vast swathes of those who used to pledge their allegiance to the party.
While Cameron may have some appeal to certain ambitious youngsters whose web dream it is to work in Conservative Central Office, to those who weren't going to vote anyway he offers very little. To those looking to kick Labour in, he offers a change, but is largely going to be seen as aesthetic and those who do vote for me are going to be very disappointed as they ended up being with Tony Blair. To those, like me, who don't just hold "change" as a brand device to win an election, the man offers nothing. If you want withdrawal from the EU, grammar schools, vast investment in defence, an overhaul of the Human Rights Act, the man offers nothing. In fact, he wishes those who wanted those things in his own party would just get out and leave him in peace.
So while his presentation may be perfectly stagehandled and while he comes up with some very clever sound bites, let us not forget he is taking on a Labour government on its absolute last legs, just begging to be put out of its misery. If Cameron becomes Prime Minister and Labour throw a real veteran political street fighter into the mix as Leader, then lets see if Cameron is quite as calm, collected and fit for the digital age. Or perhaps, as I expect, he will sink into the very "Punch and Judy" politics he claims to want to rally against.
We will soon get a preview of what Cameron is like when under pressure and not just jabbing at a crippled opponent. The second Irish referendum on the Lisbon treaty occurs just days before the Tory Conference. Lets see how slickly Cameron deals with that little issue. I suspect "duck" will be an understatement.
The reality is simple. While WebCameron works as a concept, it's execution exposes just how outdated most of those in the political world are with ordinary folk. A video filmed inside a Party Leader's house is not a bad idea. It makes them more accessible, easier to relate to, and more informal. Yet the execution of this and many other Cameron videos exposes just how frail his real understanding of what people want, is.
To Mr. White Van Man Tory Dave is a smarmy posh git who is too full of himself and is going to sleepwalk into becoming Prime Minister thanks to a Labour government who have utterly alienated vast swathes of those who used to pledge their allegiance to the party.
While Cameron may have some appeal to certain ambitious youngsters whose web dream it is to work in Conservative Central Office, to those who weren't going to vote anyway he offers very little. To those looking to kick Labour in, he offers a change, but is largely going to be seen as aesthetic and those who do vote for me are going to be very disappointed as they ended up being with Tony Blair. To those, like me, who don't just hold "change" as a brand device to win an election, the man offers nothing. If you want withdrawal from the EU, grammar schools, vast investment in defence, an overhaul of the Human Rights Act, the man offers nothing. In fact, he wishes those who wanted those things in his own party would just get out and leave him in peace.
So while his presentation may be perfectly stagehandled and while he comes up with some very clever sound bites, let us not forget he is taking on a Labour government on its absolute last legs, just begging to be put out of its misery. If Cameron becomes Prime Minister and Labour throw a real veteran political street fighter into the mix as Leader, then lets see if Cameron is quite as calm, collected and fit for the digital age. Or perhaps, as I expect, he will sink into the very "Punch and Judy" politics he claims to want to rally against.
We will soon get a preview of what Cameron is like when under pressure and not just jabbing at a crippled opponent. The second Irish referendum on the Lisbon treaty occurs just days before the Tory Conference. Lets see how slickly Cameron deals with that little issue. I suspect "duck" will be an understatement.
Labels:
David Cameron,
Lisbon Treaty
Wednesday, 9 September 2009
Gordon Brown needs to throw the kitchen sink. Bercow's going to get one lobbed at him.
People who have been oohing and aahing about if Gordon Brown will take his seat on the Sky News debate against David Cameron and Nick Clegg need their heads examined. As disconnected as Brown is, he is currently surrounded by advisers telling him what he needs to do to win the next General Election. And that's throw a curveball at the Tories.
I fully expect Brown's big Labour Conference to be a symbolic accepting of the challenge. The man has nothing to lose. If he has rings ran around him, he remains the second-rate Labour Leader he is. If Cameron bottles it and Brown somehow emerges as the strong, steady silent type he was supposed to be (before we all found out the economic record he had was actually terrible), then it could just be the first sign of the most remarkable comeback. Not that I expect it to be, you understand. But it's only hope.
Now if he was really devious, he'd book that Proportional Representation referendum and EU in-our-out referendum on the day of the General Election. That'd really bugger David Cameron's game plan up and cause a certain amount of disarray among the Conservative ranks.
Speaking of disarray among the Tory, or perhaps I should say, ex-Tory, ranks: Buckingham. Yes, it will be a beautiful battle as my political hero, former UKIP Leader Nigel Farage steps up to give the House of Commons' Speaker John Bercow a spanking that hopefully costs him his job and his seat. Bercow is obviously worried and just splashed out around £100,000 on a spin doctor who used to be a journo over at The Times. I'll be campaigning to get Farage in the House of Commons so the Westminster boys and girls can experience him up close and personal.
Oh, and I haven't given up hope of Sky inviting Farage to batter Clegg, Cameron and Brown on their live TV debate. Because everyone knows that Farage equals ratings.
I fully expect Brown's big Labour Conference to be a symbolic accepting of the challenge. The man has nothing to lose. If he has rings ran around him, he remains the second-rate Labour Leader he is. If Cameron bottles it and Brown somehow emerges as the strong, steady silent type he was supposed to be (before we all found out the economic record he had was actually terrible), then it could just be the first sign of the most remarkable comeback. Not that I expect it to be, you understand. But it's only hope.
Now if he was really devious, he'd book that Proportional Representation referendum and EU in-our-out referendum on the day of the General Election. That'd really bugger David Cameron's game plan up and cause a certain amount of disarray among the Conservative ranks.
Speaking of disarray among the Tory, or perhaps I should say, ex-Tory, ranks: Buckingham. Yes, it will be a beautiful battle as my political hero, former UKIP Leader Nigel Farage steps up to give the House of Commons' Speaker John Bercow a spanking that hopefully costs him his job and his seat. Bercow is obviously worried and just splashed out around £100,000 on a spin doctor who used to be a journo over at The Times. I'll be campaigning to get Farage in the House of Commons so the Westminster boys and girls can experience him up close and personal.
Oh, and I haven't given up hope of Sky inviting Farage to batter Clegg, Cameron and Brown on their live TV debate. Because everyone knows that Farage equals ratings.
Labels:
Buckingham,
John Bercow,
Nigel Farage,
Sky News Debate
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