Tory MEPs ideologicially belong in different groups.

I have always found it fascinating that the Conservative party contains within it politicians who believe we should be part of a federal Europe and politicians who believe we should leave the EU altogether. After all, this no normal policy issue. It is the issue which decides, fundamentally, how the country is to be governed.

It comes as no surprise to me that David Cameron is already going to be developing quite a headache over his new European Parliamentary grouping. A Finnish MEP has already quit the group, putting its very survival on a knife-edge given EU group quotas. But more worryingly a senior Tory MEP Edward McMillian-Scott has come out publically and expressed concearn over some of the Tories new allies.

Make no mistake about it, this was a calculated political move from McMillian-Scott who represents the europhile majority of Tory MEPs. Expect further dissent. After all, while the likes of Dan Hannan and Roger Helmer are likely to be appeased with this new arrangement, people like McMillian-Scott will be looking for any opportunity to revert back to the Parliament's largest grouping, in the EPP, where generous funding and commitee positions await.

I predict this new grouping is not going to contain every Tory MEP for long. Certainly not for the duration of the next five year EU Parliamentary sitting. Once the europhiles within it begin to realise that they are no longer sitting with passive europhiles, all hell is going to break loose. The Tory party cannot realistically expect for its MEPs to go along with consensus and sit happily with a eurosceptic or europhile grouping. David Cameron may have attempted to paper over the cracks in his party, but they remain. And so they will.

Revolution is spelt UKIP.

The three old Westminster parties have had their chance. They have collectively presided over a system of politics that has been exposed as being corrupt, outdated and not there to serve the people, but to serve the gentlemen's club. The politicians now talk of reform and change, but the election of Speaker Bercow is a joke, yet another creation of petty party politics. Moreover, it is telling that while MPs are now condeamning the very system that they created, they speak nothing of the corrupt system across the water in Brussels. They want reform limited to their own self-preservation. They are insincere and the public have finally had enough.

Joe Bloggs is no longer happy just to sit at home, stewing in his own disgust. A Harris poll has shown that UKIP is on 10% in General Election polling, a historic level which is higher than the party has ever polled before in the Westminster election. Yet amazingly Harris Interactive, the company which did the polling, didn't even get UKIP's name right, mistakingly calling the party "the UK Independent Party". I suspect they soon, just like the Westminster politicians, will be a lot more aware of Nigel Farage's party.

Second class citizens?

Leading Socialist MEP Jo Leinen has launched an astonishing tirade, even for one of the EU's most hardcore supporters.

He claims that if the Irish vote no to the Lisbon Treaty for a second time, then Ireland and the Irish people will be relegated to a "second class" in the EU. This of course implies that if the Irish vote "no", they will effectively be depriving themselves of something.

Yet Leinen goes on to say that a second Irish no may lead to a two speed European Union. That it would not be involved in the EU's forging ahead in the areas of foreign affairs, justice and energy. That it would not become a part of a federal Europe, or at least as not as quickly as the rest of the EU's member states. Ireland, Leinin insists, would not see themselves integrated in the EU if they vote no.

I think that makes things very clear. In reality, if the Irish once again vote no, they will be making themselves first class citizens in Europe. The EU, by demanding the Irish must vote on an identical Treaty for a second time, seeks to relegate ordinary people to second class citizens beneath the unelected political elite whose lust for European integration remains unquenched. Lets hope the Irish revolt continues.

The Conservative party's disconnection is UKIP's trump card.

As someone who was made to attend one of the worst state secondary schools in the country as I was within its "catchment area" and my mum couldn't afford to send me to the private school up the road, I fully applaud what David Davis has said today in his defence of grammar schools. Infact it was one of the two policies, including the issue of the EU, that made me join UKIP in the first place.

It is all very well for David Cameron to pose as some sort of uber-in-touch young moderniser. But the fact is his front bench is chocca full of not just public school boys, but Eton-educated people. Of course there is nothing wrong with being educated at Eton. In some ways I am quite envious of those who got such an opportunity. But a government and front bench should surely be full of people from a range of backgrounds and experiences. Not so is Cameron's case, as he has crammed his old friends in powerful posts around him.

Perhaps this contributes to how out of touch they are. Opinion polls show that restoring the grammar school system is by far the most popular educational system. Same with leaving the EU and countless other issues where people feel no party represents them.

Just as the Labour party no longer stands up for the working man, there is no point being a working class striver in he Tory party. The Westminster establishment appear to have no interest in such people anymore. Or perhaps they are just so damn disconnected they don't even know what people want or need anymore. What an indictment that is.

Europhiles represent fringe politics.

Gordon Brown and David Miliband's attacks on the Conservative party who have helped form a new group in the European Parliament are quiet extraordinary. Lets not forget, the Tories new group is absolutely dedicated to continued EU membership, and contains at least one MEP who voted for the Lisbon Treaty.

Not only that, but Labour's pro-EU language is exactly the same as David Cameron's and Nick Clegg's. "Isolated" and "on the fringes" are the favourite quotes from Labour when they attack the Tories' eurosceptic posturing, the same phrases as used by the Tories when they attack UKIP for having a sensible reform of our relationship with the EU.

The real truth of course is that those who support backwards, inward-looking Euro-federalism are the isolationists, the protectionists and those who are on the political fringes. Opinion polls now show the majority don't even want to be in the European Union. This is another issue where our three old Westminster politicians and parties are totally out of tune with public opinion.

Gordon Brown may pray, but his voters have already fled.

The news that Gordon Brown is to appear on Songs of Praise in an attempt to "reconnect" with voters is laughable. The only people I know who watch it are religiously minded and wouldn't touch Brown's anti-conservative party and government with a barge pole. That aside though, lets imagine my perspective on that is wrong and that working class people sit down en mass with a cup of coco and watch the programme.

I expect a horrendously forced smile, awkward hyperbole about Labour helping people through the financial crisis that Labour helped create and an al-around sickly affair. The truth is, such token appearances are frankly insulting. If Brown wants to reconnect then why not do it the old fashioned way? Take your fingers away from your ears and deal with difficult questions, Prime Minister.

Only UKIP can stop the BNP.

Unfortunately the British National Party has had two MEPs elected. Predictably cries around Westminster, and skirmishes involving far-left activists have taken place. The fact is though that whatever David Cameron, Gordon Brown, Eric Pickles or Unite Against Fascism say or do, there is only one way to truly take on and destroy the BNP.

It will not be done by throwing toys out of the pram and bombarding the BNP with insults, as tempting as this may be. Similarly, Westminster politicians helping the BNP look like a bullied anti-establishment party will not help, especially in the current climate where what our politicians say is held in such low regard.

The solution, the answer, is simple. Listen. Act. There has not suddenly been a huge surge in racism in the UK. The BNP's growth is thanks largely to justifiable concearns of overpopulation and immigration in Britain. A large chunk of this problem is the elephant in the room that is immigration from Eastern European countries, thanks to its cast-iron link with the issue of our EU membership. It is a disgrace that Brown and Cameron talk down the BNP but propose no means of stopping people voting for them. Labour have realised what a mess they have made of immigration and now discriminate against non-EU citizens who want to come to work and live in this country. Yet on the topic of EU immigration, those in Westminster are utterly silent. They are collectively turning their backs on the problem of the BNP. Fine words are one thing, but policy and action is quite another.

Thankfully UKIP isn't living in a dream world where the BNP will just melt away. 13 MEPs being elected for the party is great, but with BNP MEPs sitting in the European Parliament, we must re-double our efforts to promote the fact that UKIP offers a policy of controlled immigration based on the systems used in Australia, America and Canada, but utterly rejects racism, bigotry and discrimination on the grounds of race or anything else.

What a strange country we live in where the only party which is non-racist, wants border controls and which is capable of destroying the BNP, is one that didn't even exist until 1993.

The Irish may say "no" once more.

There has been much talk of the fact that David Cameron will be highly unlikely to grant a referendum on the Lisbon Treaty if the Irish vote "yes" second time round. The Tories' Shadow Business Secretary Ken Clarke recently let the cat out of the bag, insisting that a retrospective referendum would not be granted. But lets not get too carried away. Cameron may yet begrudingly have to give the people their say.

So Libertas and Declan Ganley failed even more dismally than I myself predicted in the Euro Elections, winning just 1 MEP despite the fact that they stood in 15 countries. Subsequently Libertas have just announced that they will play no part in the "no" campaign this time round. All is not yet lost though. The text upon which the Irish rejected the Lisbon Treaty first time round is totally unchanged and is the same identical document. It is a rejected Treaty that has been revived in an act of political defiance by those driving the EU, determined to continue the expansion of the EU's powers no matter what the people of Europe - and especially Ireland - want.

Yes, predictions so far are that this time the Treaty will be "yes'd" by the Irish. But don't write off the "no" side yet. Don't forget, going into the referendum first time round it was considered an outside bet for the Irish to say no to deeper political integration. Yet as the day of the referendum loomed, odds were slashed, halved and slashed again for the "no" side. The same could happen again.

I suspect it might. The Irish's so-called "guarantees" on the Treaty second-time round aren't worth the paper they're written on and there is also the fact that the EU's contempt for democracy has been totally exposed by its insistance on a second vote. Yes, so scaremongering is going on in Ireland with regards to their relationship with the European Union and the current economic downturn, but the real issue here is a set of unelected foreign Commissioners attempting to play hardball with the Irish. I am certainly not writing off the chances of the EU getting a nasty surprise as the people of Ireland are once again called to debate and cast their vote on the EU's hated Lisbon Treaty.

Either way, David Cameron should be sweating. An Irish "no" vote means he will have to grant us in the UK a referendum which will see a landslide rejection of the Lisbon Treaty, while a "yes" vote will see him destroy his fairytale eurosceptic credentials by "not letting matters rest there" - and not giving us our referendum.

Douglas Carswell and Daniel Hannan miss the point.

In the past few months Douglas Carswell and Daniel Hannan, Tory MP and MEP respectively, have shown that they are both incredibly able politicians. Carswell had long advocated the removable of Michael Martin as Speaker and a radical shake-up of how Parliament functions, while Hannan had been a Tory rebel siren on the workings of Brussels and all of the sleaze that goes with it. Both recently gained a profile for the first time when Carswell led the ousting of Martin as Speaker of the House of Commons and Hannan destroyed Gordon Brown with a verbal tirade that went viral internationally.

Yet both men are both banned from ever holding a front bench position (and any degree of influence) under David Cameron's leadership. A leadership that I predict will last many years, as the Blue Labour project, as New Labour did, blows its competitor out of the water. A Labour recovery will take many years and the Liberal Democrats don't have the stomach for any kind of breakthrough. Come the 2010 General Election it will be 1997 all over again. Hope, promise of change, but another catastrophic failure.

Where does this leave Hannan and Carswell? Well both men, as I said, are banned from the front bench due to their open pledge that the UK should withdraw from the EU and once again be an independent country with a global, not simply European, outlook. It is for this reason that while Carswell and Hannan's many radical pledges on open primary candidate selection and the destruction of government quango's is bang on, they have one fatal flaw. For radical change, we need a radical new party. That party is UKIP. Judging from the opinion polls, that is a message that is starting to catch on.