New parties, predictable impact.

One can forgive Declan Ganley for thinking that Libertas was going to take Europe by storm. This was the man who played a big part in the Irish voting "no" to the Lisbon Treaty. He bought into his own hype but now looks to have thrown himself in way too deep. Libertas will be lucky to win a fraction of the 100 MEPs Ganley has predicted Libertas would secure. Ganley himself is even unlikely to get elected in Ireland. Libertas haven't gone above 1% in any UK poll with regards to the Euro Elections.

One might expect more from Sir Paul Judge, former Tory bigwig and founder of Jury Team. This oddball concept has seen its candidates talk about change but not actually talk about policy a jot. Of course, it is the implementation of policy which will cause change, not simply the election of independent politicians. Oh, and being backed and funded by a party seems to totally defeat the point of being an independent politician.

No2EU is yet another example of how splintered and demented the far-left in the UK are. Alongside the BNP, they are political extremists who arrogantly claim to represent "the people", yet will win votes from very few people, thereby proving they represent nobody but themselves.

Alongside Robert Kilroy-Silk's ill-fated Veritas, all of the above prove that the public are not looking for a quick-fix solution. You cannot come into British politics and take it by storm, whether you are well funded or not. The British people want to back horses with a track record and to get their attention in the first place, you need a network of spread support. This is why the Greens and UKIP especially are benefiting from the current expenses scandal.

It is also why the European Union - along with the three old parties - will never convince the British people that a federal Europe is in their best interests. Money can buy profile, but it cannot purchase support.

Consistent conservatives vote UKIP.

Hat off to Simon Heffer. For many years he has proven to be a consistant conservative, commited to an ideologicial outlook of Britain based on lower taxes and a British Parliament that has the power to properly govern the country, among other things.

This has quite inevitably led him to criticise the direction that David Cameron has taken the Tory party, as well as Cameron's verbal assaults on UKIP. Heffer even helped and endorsed Nigel Farage during the Bromley and Chistlehurst by-election.

Heffer has once again demonstrated that there remain a few true men out there who believe in country before party. Figures like Stuart Wheeler and Norman Tebbit. Those who put the blue rosette before country are fools, as are those who genuinely believe in Cameron's lipservice on the issue of the EU.

UKIP is polling at 19%. The penny has obviously dropped. It is time for those truly commited to fighting for an independent Britain to back the only show in town. The EU is not a game to be played with on party political lines. United,eurosceptics can stand. Divided and we - our country - fall.

There will not be a better chance to show that it is time for Britain to decide whether it wants to be part of a federal Europe.

UKIP, UKIP, UKIP: Up, Up, Up.

The media wrote us off and attacked UKIP in-between their extensive periods of totally ignoring the party. Even independently-minded conservative bloggers like Iain Dale predicted a UKIP wipe-out on June 4th in the European Elections. I did not and it looks like that view will be vindicated.

As I blogged at the time, UKIP's 7% polling base was a good result that gave us room to rapidly build upon. The expenses scandal has exposed the political class in Westminster as being just as greedy and disconnected as UKIP has always said they were and the fallout is not just the resignation of the Speaker of the House of Commons, but a UKIP surge to 19%. A surge that I believe could well run into the mid-20%'s by polling day.

I believe in a huge UKIP success on June 4th, just like I always have, because the party represents the views that the majority of people in the UK hold. Not just that now, but the party's disgust, disgust that I share with it, towards our oligopoly of a political system is now shared by many millions of voters who have seen its failings. Voters will simply not be appeased right now by remaining apathetic or having a feeling of antipathy, but are angry and who will express themselves by voting UKIP in large numbers. The party's message of "Vote No" still applies to the EU, but is now even more applicable and relevant to the outdated, backwards Westminster system.

June 7th is likely to be a night to remember.

Can you smell that? The stench of political corruption, I mean. After all of these years of politicians from all sides of the House of Commons claiming that they get a bad rap from the public, they are being exposed. Labour have already been hit hard and it is understood that The Telegraph will start revealing the big Tory stories tomorrow.

This could all have a radical knock-on effect for June 4th's European Election. Yes, Labour may be polling 23%, the lowest in its history, after this latest scandal. But when similar stories come out about Tory and Libderal Democrat MPs, what happens? Do voters simply not turn out to vote, disgusted at all of the main choices on offer? Perhaps. The difference, I predict, in this upcoming election is that UKIP's visibility will make difference enough for those turned off by the three old parties to go out and vote UKIP on June 4th.

UKIP Leader Nigel Farage was on Andrew Marr this morning and the party will have representatives on BBC Question Time two weeks in a row before polling day on June 4th. Couple that with a big UKIP billboard campaign and an array of likely high profile media appearances, and the party could well be set to sky-rocket from its current 7% polling level. I predict that on June 7th, Euro Election result day a very memorable result is going to see Labour in fourth, the BNP crushed and UKIP having proved the Westminster lobby - who have talked down the party's chances virtually non-stop - wrong, just as it did in 1999 and 2004.